Stock Analysis

We Like Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's (SHSE:600864) Earnings For More Than Just Statutory Profit

SHSE:600864
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Harbin Hatou Investment Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600864) announced a healthy earnings result recently, and the market rewarded it with a strong uplift in the stock price. Looking deeper at the numbers, we found several encouraging factors beyond the headline profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600864 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024

A Closer Look At Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.42 for the year to March 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥3.2b, well over the CN¥156.1m it reported in profit. Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥176m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. In the twelve months to March 2024, Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd had a big unusual items expense. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items made its statutory profit significantly weaker than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's Profit Performance

Considering both Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. After considering all this, we reckon Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd (1 is significant) you should be familiar with.

Our examination of Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And it has passed with flying colours. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Harbin Hatou InvestmentLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.