Stock Analysis

Private companies in Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000429) are its biggest bettors, and their bets paid off as stock gained 4.4% last week

Published
SZSE:000429

Key Insights

  • Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development's significant private companies ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • A total of 2 investors have a majority stake in the company with 59% ownership
  • Ownership research along with analyst forecasts data help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

Every investor in Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000429) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. We can see that private companies own the lion's share in the company with 60% ownership. That is, the group stands to benefit the most if the stock rises (or lose the most if there is a downturn).

As a result, private companies were the biggest beneficiaries of last week’s 4.4% gain.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development, beginning with the chart below.

See our latest analysis for Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development

SZSE:000429 Ownership Breakdown March 3rd 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

SZSE:000429 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 3rd 2025

Hedge funds don't have many shares in Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development. The company's largest shareholder is Guangdong Provincial Communications Group Co.,Ltd, with ownership of 49%. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 9.7% and 1.7% of the stock.

After doing some more digging, we found that the top 2 shareholders collectively control more than half of the company's shares, implying that they have considerable power to influence the company's decisions.

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

We can report that insiders do own shares in Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development Co., Ltd.. It is a pretty big company, so it is generally a positive to see some potentially meaningful alignment. In this case, they own around CN¥332m worth of shares (at current prices). If you would like to explore the question of insider alignment, you can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 28% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Private Company Ownership

We can see that Private Companies own 60%, of the shares on issue. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Guangdong Provincial Expressway Development that you should be aware of.

If you are like me, you may want to think about whether this company will grow or shrink. Luckily, you can check this free report showing analyst forecasts for its future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.