Xingtong Shipping Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 603209 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

603209 (CN¥16.23) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥58.36)

Is 603209 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 603209 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 603209 (CN¥16.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥58.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 603209 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 603209?

Key metric: As 603209 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 603209. This is calculated by dividing 603209's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 603209's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	12.9x
Earnings	CN¥348.07m
Market Cap	CN¥4.48b

603209 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	3.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	8.4x
PEG Ratio	0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 603209's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 603209 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	23.6x
001205 Nanjing ShengHang Shipping	17.3x	29.5%	CN¥3.5b
603167 Bohai Ferry Group	14.1x	6.2%	CN¥4.1b
603162 Fujian Highton Development	19.3x	n/a	CN¥8.6b
002320 Hainan Strait ShippingLtd	43.6x	28.5%	CN¥13.9b
603209 Xingtong Shipping	12.9x	15.8%	CN¥4.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 603209 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the peer average (23.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 603209's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Shipping Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 603209 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the Asian Shipping industry average (10.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 603209's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

603209 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	12.9x
Fair PE Ratio	13.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 603209 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.