Stock Analysis

Is Guangxi Wuzhou Communications (SHSE:600368) Using Too Much Debt?

SHSE:600368
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600368) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Guangxi Wuzhou Communications

How Much Debt Does Guangxi Wuzhou Communications Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Guangxi Wuzhou Communications had CN¥2.70b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥3.19b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥827.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.87b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600368 Debt to Equity History January 8th 2025

How Healthy Is Guangxi Wuzhou Communications' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Guangxi Wuzhou Communications had liabilities of CN¥1.05b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.89b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥827.0m in cash and CN¥314.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.79b.

Guangxi Wuzhou Communications has a market capitalization of CN¥7.24b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

We'd say that Guangxi Wuzhou Communications's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 1.8), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 1k times, makes us even more comfortable. Notably Guangxi Wuzhou Communications's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Guangxi Wuzhou Communications will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Guangxi Wuzhou Communications actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

The good news is that Guangxi Wuzhou Communications's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also supports that impression! It's also worth noting that Guangxi Wuzhou Communications is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Guangxi Wuzhou Communications is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Guangxi Wuzhou Communications that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.