Stock Analysis

We Think China Bester Group Telecom (SHSE:603220) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

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SHSE:603220

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that China Bester Group Telecom Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603220) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for China Bester Group Telecom

What Is China Bester Group Telecom's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, China Bester Group Telecom had CN¥2.15b of debt, up from CN¥787.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥388.8m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.77b.

SHSE:603220 Debt to Equity History June 14th 2024

How Healthy Is China Bester Group Telecom's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, China Bester Group Telecom had liabilities of CN¥3.15b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥891.2m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥388.8m in cash and CN¥2.31b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.35b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given China Bester Group Telecom has a market capitalization of CN¥9.53b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.4, it's fair to say China Bester Group Telecom does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 4.9 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. It is well worth noting that China Bester Group Telecom's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 58% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if China Bester Group Telecom can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, China Bester Group Telecom saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Neither China Bester Group Telecom's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its net debt to EBITDA gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that China Bester Group Telecom is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Bester Group Telecom , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.