Optimistic Investors Push Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300851) Shares Up 42% But Growth Is Lacking

Despite an already strong run, Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300851) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 42% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 33% in the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 34x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology has been doing very well. The P/E is probably moderate because investors think this strong earnings growth might not be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

See our latest analysis for Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology

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Does Growth Match The P/E?

Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 214% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 19% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology's P/E is also back up to the market median. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Beijing Jiaoda Signal Technology has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.