Stock Analysis

We Think Fibocom Wireless (SZSE:300638) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SZSE:300638
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Fibocom Wireless Inc. (SZSE:300638) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Fibocom Wireless

What Is Fibocom Wireless's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Fibocom Wireless had debt of CN¥1.19b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥1.40b over a year. However, it also had CN¥1.03b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥161.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300638 Debt to Equity History April 23rd 2024

How Strong Is Fibocom Wireless' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fibocom Wireless had liabilities of CN¥3.32b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥651.7m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.03b and CN¥2.91b worth of receivables due within a year. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

This state of affairs indicates that Fibocom Wireless' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥11.7b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Fibocom Wireless has a very light debt load indeed.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Fibocom Wireless's net debt is only 0.22 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 37.7 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Fibocom Wireless grew its EBIT by 93% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Fibocom Wireless can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Fibocom Wireless basically broke even on a free cash flow basis. Some might say that's a concern, when it comes considering how easily it would be for it to down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Fibocom Wireless's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Fibocom Wireless takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Fibocom Wireless that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Fibocom Wireless is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.