Stock Analysis

Hebei Huijin Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300368) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet

SZSE:300368
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Hebei Huijin Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300368) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 39% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Hebei Huijin Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 3.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Hebei Huijin Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300368 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024

How Hebei Huijin Group Has Been Performing

For instance, Hebei Huijin Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hebei Huijin Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Hebei Huijin Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hebei Huijin Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 56%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 67% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hebei Huijin Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Hebei Huijin Group's P/S

Even after such a strong price drop, Hebei Huijin Group's P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Hebei Huijin Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Hebei Huijin Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hebei Huijin Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hebei Huijin Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.