Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics Jointstock Co., Ltd's (SZSE:003015) 37% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

SZSE:003015
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Despite an already strong run, Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics Jointstock Co., Ltd (SZSE:003015) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 37% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 47% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.1x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:003015 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 22nd 2024

What Does Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 22% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen a 18% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Jiangsu Rijiu Optoelectronics (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.