Stock Analysis

Here's Why Shennan Circuit (SZSE:002916) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SZSE:002916
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Shennan Circuit Company Limited (SZSE:002916) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Shennan Circuit

How Much Debt Does Shennan Circuit Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Shennan Circuit had CN¥3.14b of debt, up from CN¥2.73b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.07b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥2.07b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002916 Debt to Equity History August 28th 2024

How Strong Is Shennan Circuit's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shennan Circuit had liabilities of CN¥7.22b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.85b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.07b in cash and CN¥4.55b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥4.45b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Shennan Circuit shares are worth a total of CN¥53.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Shennan Circuit has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.69. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 64.5 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Shennan Circuit grew its EBIT by 35% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shennan Circuit's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Shennan Circuit actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Shennan Circuit's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Shennan Circuit can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shennan Circuit you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.