Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Transimage Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002866) Stock Catapults 41% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

SZSE:002866
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The Jiangsu Transimage Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002866) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 41%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 15% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Jiangsu Transimage Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electronic industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4x and even P/S above 8x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu Transimage Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002866 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 8th 2024

How Jiangsu Transimage Technology Has Been Performing

The recent revenue growth at Jiangsu Transimage Technology would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this good revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Jiangsu Transimage Technology will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Transimage Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Jiangsu Transimage Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Jiangsu Transimage Technology's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.7%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 3.5% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we understand why Jiangsu Transimage Technology's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu Transimage Technology's P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Jiangsu Transimage Technology's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Jiangsu Transimage Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Jiangsu Transimage Technology (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Transimage Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.