Stock Analysis

Shenzhen TXD Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002845) Stock Catapults 39% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

SZSE:002845
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Shenzhen TXD Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002845) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 39% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 14% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Electronic industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 4.2x and even P/S above 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002845 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 22nd 2024

How Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 27% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 27% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's P/S?

Even after such a strong price move, Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen TXD TechnologyLtd (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.