Stock Analysis

Is Tongding Interconnection Information (SZSE:002491) A Risky Investment?

SZSE:002491
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Tongding Interconnection Information Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002491) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Tongding Interconnection Information

What Is Tongding Interconnection Information's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Tongding Interconnection Information had CN¥1.82b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥2.00b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.54b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥289.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002491 Debt to Equity History December 11th 2024

A Look At Tongding Interconnection Information's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Tongding Interconnection Information had liabilities of CN¥3.24b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥71.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.54b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.56b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥213.6m.

Since publicly traded Tongding Interconnection Information shares are worth a total of CN¥6.06b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Given net debt is only 1.3 times EBITDA, it is initially surprising to see that Tongding Interconnection Information's EBIT has low interest coverage of 2.1 times. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Importantly, Tongding Interconnection Information's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 46% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Tongding Interconnection Information's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last two years, Tongding Interconnection Information actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

We weren't impressed with Tongding Interconnection Information's interest cover, and its EBIT growth rate made us cautious. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was significantly redeeming. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Tongding Interconnection Information's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Tongding Interconnection Information .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tongding Interconnection Information might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.