Stock Analysis
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- SZSE:002456
OFILM Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002456) Shares Fly 30% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
OFILM Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002456) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last month tops off a massive increase of 106% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, OFILM Group may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 4.3x and even P/S higher than 9x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for OFILM Group
How Has OFILM Group Performed Recently?
OFILM Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on OFILM Group.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as OFILM Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 38% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 28% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 22% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 26% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why OFILM Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What Does OFILM Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift OFILM Group's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that OFILM Group maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - OFILM Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002456
OFILM Group
Manufactures and sells optic and optoelectronic products in China and internationally.