Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Shenzhen Success Electronics Co., Ltd (SZSE:002289) After Shares Rise 25%

SZSE:002289
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Those holding Shenzhen Success Electronics Co., Ltd (SZSE:002289) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 25% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 33% over that time.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Success Electronics is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.7x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 3.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Success Electronics

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002289 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 3rd 2024

How Shenzhen Success Electronics Has Been Performing

Shenzhen Success Electronics has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Success Electronics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Shenzhen Success Electronics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 4.4% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 29% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Success Electronics is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Success Electronics' P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Shenzhen Success Electronics' P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Shenzhen Success Electronics revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Success Electronics that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Success Electronics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.