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There's No Escaping Guangdong Chaohua Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002288) Muted Revenues Despite A 41% Share Price Rise
Those holding Guangdong Chaohua Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002288) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 41% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 44% in the last twelve months.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Guangdong Chaohua Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Electronic industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.7x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Guangdong Chaohua Technology
What Does Guangdong Chaohua Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Guangdong Chaohua Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Chaohua Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Guangdong Chaohua Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Guangdong Chaohua Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 52%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that Guangdong Chaohua Technology's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Guangdong Chaohua Technology's P/S?
Despite Guangdong Chaohua Technology's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Guangdong Chaohua Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Guangdong Chaohua Technology (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002288
Guangdong Chaohua Technology
Primarily produces and sells printed circuit boards in China and internationally.
Good value with mediocre balance sheet.