Stock Analysis

Investors Appear Satisfied With Ninestar Corporation's (SZSE:002180) Prospects As Shares Rocket 27%

SZSE:002180
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Those holding Ninestar Corporation (SZSE:002180) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the last month did very little to improve the 55% share price decline over the last year.

After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 28x, you may consider Ninestar as a stock to avoid entirely with its 63.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Ninestar has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for Ninestar

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002180 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 29th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Ninestar's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Ninestar?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Ninestar's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 73%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 13% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 327% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why Ninestar is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Ninestar's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Ninestar's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Ninestar that you need to be mindful of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Ninestar. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ninestar is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.