Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation Limited (SHSE:688582) With Shares Advancing 33%

SHSE:688582
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Those holding Anhui XDLK Microsystem Corporation Limited (SHSE:688582) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 33% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 30x, you may consider Anhui XDLK Microsystem as a stock to avoid entirely with its 78.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Anhui XDLK Microsystem has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Anhui XDLK Microsystem

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688582 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Anhui XDLK Microsystem will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Growth For Anhui XDLK Microsystem?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Anhui XDLK Microsystem's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 158% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 35% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it concerning that Anhui XDLK Microsystem is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Anhui XDLK Microsystem's P/E

Shares in Anhui XDLK Microsystem have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Anhui XDLK Microsystem currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Anhui XDLK Microsystem with six simple checks.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.