Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's (SHSE:688551) Promising Earnings May Rest On Soft Foundations

Hefei Kewell Power System Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688551) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

View our latest analysis for Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd

A Closer Look At Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to December 2023, Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.31. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥870k during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of CN¥117.1m. Given that Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥870k would seem to be a step in the right direction.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's Profit Performance

Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd you should be mindful of and 1 of these is concerning.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Hefei Kewell Power SystemLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.