Stock Analysis

Wuxi Unicomp Technology's (SHSE:688531) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential

SHSE:688531
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Wuxi Unicomp Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688531) solid earnings report last week was underwhelming to investors. We did some digging and found some worrying factors that they might be paying attention to.

See our latest analysis for Wuxi Unicomp Technology

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SHSE:688531 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Wuxi Unicomp Technology's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2024, Wuxi Unicomp Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.25. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥200m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥138.5m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥200m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Wuxi Unicomp Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥43m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that Wuxi Unicomp Technology's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Wuxi Unicomp Technology's Profit Performance

Summing up, Wuxi Unicomp Technology received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. Considering all this we'd argue Wuxi Unicomp Technology's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Wuxi Unicomp Technology has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.