Stock Analysis

LUSTER LightTech Co., LTD. (SHSE:688400) Shares Slammed 26% But Getting In Cheap Might Be Difficult Regardless

SHSE:688400
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LUSTER LightTech Co., LTD. (SHSE:688400) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 48% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may still consider LUSTER LightTech as a stock to avoid entirely with its 47.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, LUSTER LightTech's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for LUSTER LightTech

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688400 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 21st 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on LUSTER LightTech.

How Is LUSTER LightTech's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like LUSTER LightTech's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 20%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 2.5% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 70% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 35%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why LUSTER LightTech is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

LUSTER LightTech's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that LUSTER LightTech maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for LUSTER LightTech that you need to be mindful of.

If you're unsure about the strength of LUSTER LightTech's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether LUSTER LightTech is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.