Stock Analysis

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Suzhou HYC Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688001) Shares After Tumbling 25%

SHSE:688001
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Suzhou HYC Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688001) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 25% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 18% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688001 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2025

How Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

For example, consider that Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 9.5% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 6.1% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 26% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd's P/S

Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

If you're unsure about the strength of Suzhou HYC TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.