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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600207) 28% Share Price Plunge
Henan Ancai Hi-Tech Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600207) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 33% share price drop.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Electronic industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.4x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd
What Does Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 25%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 127% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 18% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 23% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600207
Henan Ancai Hi-TechLtd
Researches, develops, produces, and sells photovoltaic module packaging glass products in China and internationally.
Moderate growth potential and slightly overvalued.