Stock Analysis

Glory View Technology's (SZSE:301396) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

SZSE:301396
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The subdued market reaction suggests that Glory View Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301396) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

See our latest analysis for Glory View Technology

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SZSE:301396 Earnings and Revenue History May 3rd 2024

Zooming In On Glory View Technology's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to March 2024, Glory View Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.53. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥32.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥353m in the last year. We also note that Glory View Technology's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥353m. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Glory View Technology.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Unfortunately (in the short term) Glory View Technology saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥7.1m. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Glory View Technology to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On Glory View Technology's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Glory View Technology's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Having considered these factors, we don't think Glory View Technology's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Glory View Technology, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Glory View Technology (of which 3 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

Our examination of Glory View Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Glory View Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.