Optimistic Investors Push Hunan Creator Information Technologies CO., LTD. (SZSE:300730) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking
Hunan Creator Information Technologies CO., LTD. (SZSE:300730) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 84% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, Hunan Creator Information Technologies may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 12.8x, since almost half of all companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios under 5.1x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Check out our latest analysis for Hunan Creator Information Technologies
What Does Hunan Creator Information Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Hunan Creator Information Technologies' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hunan Creator Information Technologies will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Hunan Creator Information Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hunan Creator Information Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 40%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 46% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 17% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hunan Creator Information Technologies' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
The strong share price surge has lead to Hunan Creator Information Technologies' P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Hunan Creator Information Technologies revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hunan Creator Information Technologies that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Hunan Creator Information Technologies' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hunan Creator Information Technologies might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300730
Hunan Creator Information Technologies
Hunan Creator Information Technologies CO., LTD.
Mediocre balance sheet very low.
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