These Return Metrics Don't Make Brilliance Technology (SZSE:300542) Look Too Strong
When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. So after glancing at the trends within Brilliance Technology (SZSE:300542), we weren't too hopeful.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. The formula for this calculation on Brilliance Technology is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.068 = CN¥44m ÷ (CN¥1.4b - CN¥798m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Brilliance Technology has an ROCE of 6.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the IT industry average of 3.7%.
View our latest analysis for Brilliance Technology
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Brilliance Technology's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Brilliance Technology's past further, check out this free graph covering Brilliance Technology's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Brilliance Technology's ROCE Trend?
There is reason to be cautious about Brilliance Technology, given the returns are trending downwards. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 9.0% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Brilliance Technology becoming one if things continue as they have.
While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 56%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 6.8%. And with current liabilities at these levels, suppliers or short-term creditors are effectively funding a large part of the business, which can introduce some risks.
What We Can Learn From Brilliance Technology's ROCE
In the end, the trend of lower returns on the same amount of capital isn't typically an indication that we're looking at a growth stock. Since the stock has skyrocketed 108% over the last five years, it looks like investors have high expectations of the stock. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Brilliance Technology we've found 3 warning signs (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300542
Brilliance Technology
Provides information solutions and services in China.
Adequate balance sheet with acceptable track record.