Stock Analysis

Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300542) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

SZSE:300542
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Those holding Brilliance Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300542) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 27% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Brilliance Technology may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x, since almost half of all companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.7x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Brilliance Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300542 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 11th 2024

How Has Brilliance Technology Performed Recently?

Brilliance Technology certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Brilliance Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Brilliance Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 30% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 29% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 42% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Brilliance Technology's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Brilliance Technology's P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Brilliance Technology's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Brilliance Technology maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Brilliance Technology that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Brilliance Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.