Troy Information Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300366) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
Troy Information Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300366) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 31% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Troy Information Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in China's IT industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Troy Information Technology
How Troy Information Technology Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Troy Information Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Troy Information Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Troy Information Technology?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Troy Information Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 33%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 42% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Troy Information Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Troy Information Technology looks to be in line with the rest of the IT industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our look at Troy Information Technology revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Troy Information Technology you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Troy Information Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300366
Troy Information Technology
Operates as an digital transformation service provider in China.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.