Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Qtone Education Group (Guangdong) Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300359)
You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.3x Qtone Education Group (Guangdong) Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300359) is a stock to potentially avoid, seeing as almost half of all the Software companies in China have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd
What Does Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's revenue has been unimpressive. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 15% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd's P/S
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:300359
Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd
Provides online education services in China.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.