Stock Analysis

Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300085) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SZSE:300085
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.9x Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300085) may be sending bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all Software companies in China have P/S ratios under 4.4x and even P/S lower than 2x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300085 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 26th 2024

What Does Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 17%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 34% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 29% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen InfoGem Technologies that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.