Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300044) With Shares Advancing 25%

SZSE:300044
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Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300044) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 52% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 20.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's IT industry have P/S ratios below 5.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300044 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 26th 2025

What Does Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 40%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 72% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 17% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Sunwin Intelligent you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.