Stock Analysis

China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002373) Shares Fly 29% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

SZSE:002373
Source: Shutterstock

Those holding China Transinfo Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002373) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 6.2% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, China Transinfo Technology may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.7x and even P/S higher than 7x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for China Transinfo Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002373 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024

What Does China Transinfo Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

China Transinfo Technology hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on China Transinfo Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is China Transinfo Technology's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like China Transinfo Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 11%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 16% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 28% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 41% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that China Transinfo Technology's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What Does China Transinfo Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite China Transinfo Technology's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of China Transinfo Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Transinfo Technology you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China Transinfo Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.