Stock Analysis

These Return Metrics Don't Make Shanghai Stonehill Technology (SZSE:002195) Look Too Strong

SZSE:002195
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When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Basically the company is earning less on its investments and it is also reducing its total assets. So after we looked into Shanghai Stonehill Technology (SZSE:002195), the trends above didn't look too great.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Shanghai Stonehill Technology, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.0046 = CN¥45m ÷ (CN¥10b - CN¥206m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

So, Shanghai Stonehill Technology has an ROCE of 0.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Software industry average of 3.0%.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Stonehill Technology

roce
SZSE:002195 Return on Capital Employed August 5th 2024

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Shanghai Stonehill Technology's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you want to delve into the historical earnings , check out these free graphs detailing revenue and cash flow performance of Shanghai Stonehill Technology.

What Can We Tell From Shanghai Stonehill Technology's ROCE Trend?

We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Shanghai Stonehill Technology. To be more specific, the ROCE was 18% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. And on the capital employed front, the business is utilizing roughly the same amount of capital as it was back then. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Shanghai Stonehill Technology becoming one if things continue as they have.

On a related note, Shanghai Stonehill Technology has decreased its current liabilities to 2.0% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

The Bottom Line

In summary, it's unfortunate that Shanghai Stonehill Technology is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 25% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Shanghai Stonehill Technology, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should be aware of.

While Shanghai Stonehill Technology isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.