Gosun Holding Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000971) 43% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues
The Gosun Holding Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000971) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 43%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, Gosun Holding may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x, since almost half of all companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.4x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for Gosun Holding
What Does Gosun Holding's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Gosun Holding over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Gosun Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Gosun Holding's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Gosun Holding would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 3.6%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 44% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 39% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Gosun Holding's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Gosun Holding's P/S
Gosun Holding's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other IT companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
It's no surprise that Gosun Holding maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Gosun Holding has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000971
Gosun Holding
Provides Internet data center, content distribution network, application performance monitoring and management, virtual private network, and communication engineering construction planning and design technical services in China and internationally.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.
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