Stock Analysis
Genimous Technology (SZSE:000676) Could Be At Risk Of Shrinking As A Company
If you're looking at a mature business that's past the growth phase, what are some of the underlying trends that pop up? When we see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) in conjunction with a declining base of capital employed, that's often how a mature business shows signs of aging. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. So after glancing at the trends within Genimous Technology (SZSE:000676), we weren't too hopeful.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Genimous Technology, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.014 = CN¥57m ÷ (CN¥4.8b - CN¥724m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
Therefore, Genimous Technology has an ROCE of 1.4%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Software industry average of 2.3%.
View our latest analysis for Genimous Technology
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Genimous Technology has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Genimous Technology's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Genimous Technology Tell Us?
The trend of returns that Genimous Technology is generating are raising some concerns. The company used to generate 7.7% on its capital five years ago but it has since fallen noticeably. What's equally concerning is that the amount of capital deployed in the business has shrunk by 37% over that same period. The fact that both are shrinking is an indication that the business is going through some tough times. If these underlying trends continue, we wouldn't be too optimistic going forward.
On a related note, Genimous Technology has decreased its current liabilities to 15% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.
The Bottom Line On Genimous Technology's ROCE
In summary, it's unfortunate that Genimous Technology is shrinking its capital base and also generating lower returns. Investors must expect better things on the horizon though because the stock has risen 1.8% in the last five years. Regardless, we don't like the trends as they are and if they persist, we think you might find better investments elsewhere.
One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Genimous Technology and understanding it should be part of your investment process.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000676
Genimous Technology
Engages in Internet media and digital marketing businesses in China and internationally.