Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By BeijingABT Networks Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688168) 28% Share Price Surge
BeijingABT Networks Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688168) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 32%.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that BeijingABT NetworksLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Software industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 6.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
See our latest analysis for BeijingABT NetworksLtd
What Does BeijingABT NetworksLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
BeijingABT NetworksLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this strong revenue performance might be about to tail off. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Keen to find out how analysts think BeijingABT NetworksLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like BeijingABT NetworksLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 72% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 36% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 33%, which is not materially different.
With this in mind, it makes sense that BeijingABT NetworksLtd's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.
The Final Word
BeijingABT NetworksLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
A BeijingABT NetworksLtd's P/S seems about right to us given the knowledge that analysts are forecasting a revenue outlook that is similar to the Software industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for BeijingABT NetworksLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688168
BeijingABT NetworksLtd
Develops and provides visualized network security technology solutions in China.
High growth potential and fair value.