Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Wuhan Citms Technology CO.,LTD.'s (SHSE:688038) Low P/S

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x Wuhan Citms Technology CO.,LTD. (SHSE:688038) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Software companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.4x and even P/S higher than 12x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

View our latest analysis for Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688038 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 3rd 2025

How Has Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 40% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 30% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we are not surprised that Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What Does Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD's P/S Mean For Investors?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SHSE:688038

Wuhan Citms TechnologyLTD

Engages in the public security informatization business.

Excellent balance sheet and fair value.

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