More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTech Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603918) Shares After Tumbling 27%
Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTech Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603918) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 33% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Software industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 6.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd
How Has Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd Performed Recently?
For instance, Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 30%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 37% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 30% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Following Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We find it unexpected that Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603918
Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd
Provides multimedia information systems, and industry solutions and services in China.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.