Stock Analysis

Weaver Network Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603039) 28% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

SHSE:603039
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Those holding Weaver Network Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603039) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 28% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 33% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Weaver Network Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Software industry is similar at about 5.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

Check out our latest analysis for Weaver Network Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603039 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 4th 2024

What Does Weaver Network Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Weaver Network Technology as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Weaver Network Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Weaver Network Technology's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.7%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 74% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 23% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 27% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Weaver Network Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Weaver Network Technology's P/S is back within range of the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Weaver Network Technology's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Weaver Network Technology that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Weaver Network Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.