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Shenzhen Changfang Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300301) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
Shenzhen Changfang Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300301) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.6x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the Semiconductor industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 7.6x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Changfang Group
How Shenzhen Changfang Group Has Been Performing
For instance, Shenzhen Changfang Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shenzhen Changfang Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Changfang Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 71% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 45% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Shenzhen Changfang Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Shenzhen Changfang Group confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Changfang Group you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300301
Shenzhen Changfang Group
Engages in the research and development, design, production, and sale of LED lighting source device packaging and LED lighting application products in China and internationally.
Slightly overvalued with imperfect balance sheet.