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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics Co., Ltd (SZSE:002119) With Shares Advancing 31%
Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics Co., Ltd (SZSE:002119) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 14% is also fairly reasonable.
Following the firm bounce in price, Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 61.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 36x and even P/E's below 21x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 51% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 27% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics' P/E?
The strong share price surge has got Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics' P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002119
Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics
Manufactures and sells semiconductor packaging materials in China.
Excellent balance sheet with proven track record.