National Silicon Industry Group Co.,Ltd.

SHSE:688126 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥61.8b

National Silicon Industry GroupLtd Valuation

Is 688126 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 688126 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 688126 (CN¥22.51) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.39)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 688126 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 688126?

Key metric: As 688126 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 688126. This is calculated by dividing 688126's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 688126's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio18.9x
SalesCN¥3.28b
Market CapCN¥61.84b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 688126's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 688126 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
688303 Xinjiang Daqo New EnergyLtd
6.3x29.0%CN¥59.8b
002129 TCL Zhonghuan Renewable Energy TechnologyLtd
1.3x23.6%CN¥43.5b
603806 Hangzhou First Applied Material
2.1x16.2%CN¥44.4b
300604 Hangzhou Changchuan TechnologyLtd
9.9x25.2%CN¥30.7b
688126 National Silicon Industry GroupLtd
18.9x19.8%CN¥61.8b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 688126 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (18.9x) compared to the peer average (4.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 688126's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Semiconductor Industry?

11 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
688223 Jinko Solar
0.8x11.4%US$12.09b
002459 JA Solar Technology
0.7x15.0%US$7.73b
688599 Trina Solar
0.6x12.5%US$7.26b
002506 GCL System Integration Technology
0.9x33.5%US$2.41b
688126 18.9xIndustry Avg. 7.2xNo. of Companies23PS048121620+
11 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 688126 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (18.9x) compared to the CN Semiconductor industry average (7.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 688126's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

688126 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio18.9x
Fair PS Ratio2.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 688126 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (18.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (2.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 688126 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥22.51
CN¥14.32
-36.4%
39.7%CN¥22.70CN¥3.70n/a6
Nov ’25CN¥21.77
CN¥14.14
-35.0%
40.4%CN¥22.70CN¥3.70n/a6
Oct ’25CN¥18.98
CN¥14.14
-25.5%
40.4%CN¥22.70CN¥3.70n/a6
Sep ’25CN¥14.69
CN¥14.18
-3.4%
40.2%CN¥22.70CN¥3.70n/a6
Aug ’25CN¥15.61
CN¥14.18
-9.1%
40.2%CN¥22.70CN¥3.70n/a6
Jul ’25CN¥13.89
CN¥14.74
+6.1%
39.1%CN¥22.70CN¥3.70n/a6
Jun ’25CN¥13.53
CN¥15.94
+17.8%
42.8%CN¥24.30CN¥3.70n/a6
May ’25CN¥13.27
CN¥15.94
+20.1%
42.8%CN¥24.30CN¥3.70n/a6
Apr ’25CN¥13.69
CN¥18.10
+32.2%
40.0%CN¥24.30CN¥4.10n/a5
Mar ’25CN¥15.64
CN¥18.92
+21.0%
36.3%CN¥24.30CN¥4.10n/a6
Feb ’25CN¥13.96
CN¥18.92
+35.5%
36.3%CN¥24.30CN¥4.10n/a6
Jan ’25CN¥17.32
CN¥19.19
+10.8%
36.0%CN¥24.30CN¥4.10n/a6
Dec ’24CN¥17.58
CN¥19.54
+11.1%
36.8%CN¥26.40CN¥4.10n/a6
Nov ’24CN¥18.01
CN¥19.54
+8.5%
36.8%CN¥26.40CN¥4.10CN¥21.776
Oct ’24CN¥19.77
CN¥20.01
+1.2%
36.8%CN¥26.40CN¥4.10CN¥18.986
Sep ’24CN¥20.61
CN¥20.72
+0.5%
33.9%CN¥26.40CN¥4.10CN¥14.697
Aug ’24CN¥21.13
CN¥23.16
+9.6%
31.9%CN¥29.00CN¥5.50CN¥15.617
Jul ’24CN¥20.90
CN¥24.09
+15.3%
33.1%CN¥32.00CN¥5.50CN¥13.897
Jun ’24CN¥22.01
CN¥27.19
+23.5%
9.9%CN¥32.00CN¥24.00CN¥13.536
May ’24CN¥23.82
CN¥27.19
+14.1%
9.9%CN¥32.00CN¥24.00CN¥13.276
Apr ’24CN¥23.39
CN¥24.51
+4.8%
17.8%CN¥32.00CN¥20.00CN¥13.695
Mar ’24CN¥20.18
CN¥24.45
+21.1%
18.1%CN¥32.00CN¥20.00CN¥15.645
Feb ’24CN¥21.28
CN¥22.43
+5.4%
36.1%CN¥32.00CN¥8.10CN¥13.965
Jan ’24CN¥17.61
CN¥23.09
+31.1%
36.6%CN¥32.00CN¥8.10CN¥17.325
Dec ’23CN¥19.08
CN¥23.09
+21.0%
36.6%CN¥32.00CN¥8.10CN¥17.585
Nov ’23CN¥20.49
CN¥22.61
+10.4%
36.6%CN¥32.00CN¥8.10CN¥18.015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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