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Earnings Not Telling The Story For CETC Chips Technology Inc. (SHSE:600877) After Shares Rise 46%
CETC Chips Technology Inc. (SHSE:600877) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 46% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 5.8% isn't as attractive.
Since its price has surged higher, CETC Chips Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 78.5x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 33x and even P/E's below 20x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Earnings have risen firmly for CETC Chips Technology recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for CETC Chips Technology
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on CETC Chips Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is CETC Chips Technology's Growth Trending?
CETC Chips Technology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.8%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 16% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that CETC Chips Technology is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On CETC Chips Technology's P/E
The strong share price surge has got CETC Chips Technology's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of CETC Chips Technology revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - CETC Chips Technology has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than CETC Chips Technology. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600877
CETC Chips Technology
Engages in the design, research and development, manufacturing, testing, and sale of silicon-based analog semiconductor chips and related application products in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with questionable track record.