Maoye Commercial Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 600828 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

600828 (CN¥3.2) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥5.4)

Is 600828 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 600828 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 600828 (CN¥3.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥5.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 600828 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 600828?

Key metric: As 600828 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 600828. This is calculated by dividing 600828's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 600828's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	1.9x
Sales	CN¥2.85b
Market Cap	CN¥5.53b

600828 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	4.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	15.3x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 600828's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 600828 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.6x
002640 Global Top E-Commerce	0.9x	n/a	CN¥6.0b
600694 Dashang	0.9x	2.7%	CN¥6.3b
600814 Hangzhou Jiebai Group	2.8x	n/a	CN¥5.0b
600280 Nanjing Central Emporium (Group) Stocks	1.9x	n/a	CN¥4.3b
600828 Maoye Commercial	1.9x	n/a	CN¥5.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 600828 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 600828's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Multiline Retail Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
600785 Yinchuan Xinhua Commercial (Group)	0.4x	3.3%	US$352.72m
600858 Inzone GroupLtd	0.5x	1.3%	US$344.73m
600697 Chang Chun Eurasia Group	0.3x	2.5%	US$273.74m

No more companies available in this PS range

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 600828 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the CN Multiline Retail industry average (1.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 600828's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

600828 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	1.9x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 600828's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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