Shenzhen Overseas Chinese Town Co.,Ltd.

XSEC:000069 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥24.3b

Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd Valuation

Is 000069 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000069 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 000069's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 000069's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000069?

Key metric: As 000069 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 000069. This is calculated by dividing 000069's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 000069's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.5x
SalesCN¥53.31b
Market CapCN¥24.27b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 000069's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 000069 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.9x
600246 Vantone Neo Development Group
45.3xn/aCN¥20.7b
600606 Greenland Holdings
0.1x-16.9%CN¥31.6b
601155 Seazen Holdings
0.3x-16.9%CN¥30.2b
600095 XiangcaiLtd
14x12.4%CN¥21.4b
000069 Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd
0.5x-2.8%CN¥24.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 000069 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the peer average (15x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 000069's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Real Estate Industry?

33 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.4x1.1%
000069 Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd
 0.5x-2.8%US$3.35b
600048 Poly Developments and Holdings Group
0.4x-2.4%US$16.38b
000002 China Vanke
0.3x-11.1%US$13.03b
000069 0.5xIndustry Avg. 2.4xNo. of Companies32PS0246810+
33 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.4x38.9%
000069 Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd
 0.5x135.0%US$3.35b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 000069 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the CN Real Estate industry average (2.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000069's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000069 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.5x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 000069 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000069 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥3.02
CN¥2.99
-1.2%
13.5%CN¥3.59CN¥2.55n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥2.93
CN¥3.00
+2.3%
13.0%CN¥3.59CN¥2.60n/a4
Oct ’25CN¥2.92
CN¥2.56
-12.4%
14.5%CN¥3.10CN¥2.20n/a4
Sep ’25CN¥1.92
CN¥2.80
+45.8%
7.7%CN¥3.10CN¥2.60n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥2.03
CN¥2.80
+37.9%
7.7%CN¥3.10CN¥2.60n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥2.13
CN¥2.93
+37.3%
9.8%CN¥3.30CN¥2.60n/a4
Jun ’25CN¥2.59
CN¥3.39
+30.7%
21.6%CN¥4.80CN¥2.70n/a5
May ’25CN¥2.64
CN¥3.49
+32.0%
20.4%CN¥4.80CN¥2.70n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥2.73
CN¥3.44
+26.0%
26.5%CN¥4.80CN¥2.30n/a5
Mar ’25CN¥3.03
CN¥3.95
+30.5%
26.8%CN¥5.27CN¥2.30n/a5
Feb ’25CN¥2.91
CN¥4.29
+47.6%
15.9%CN¥5.27CN¥3.30n/a5
Jan ’25CN¥3.11
CN¥4.67
+50.1%
9.8%CN¥5.27CN¥4.00n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥3.46
CN¥4.77
+38.0%
9.6%CN¥5.27CN¥4.00n/a5
Nov ’24CN¥3.61
CN¥4.77
+32.2%
9.6%CN¥5.27CN¥4.00CN¥2.935
Oct ’24CN¥4.23
CN¥5.23
+23.7%
12.4%CN¥6.03CN¥4.00CN¥2.927
Sep ’24CN¥4.40
CN¥5.31
+20.6%
12.7%CN¥6.03CN¥4.00CN¥1.926
Aug ’24CN¥4.85
CN¥5.55
+14.4%
13.7%CN¥6.20CN¥4.00CN¥2.036
Jul ’24CN¥4.40
CN¥5.55
+26.1%
13.7%CN¥6.20CN¥4.00CN¥2.136
Jun ’24CN¥4.75
CN¥5.71
+20.3%
7.9%CN¥6.20CN¥5.00CN¥2.596
May ’24CN¥5.01
CN¥5.58
+11.4%
9.4%CN¥6.20CN¥4.80CN¥2.647
Apr ’24CN¥4.83
CN¥6.10
+26.3%
27.3%CN¥10.00CN¥4.80CN¥2.737
Mar ’24CN¥5.37
CN¥6.40
+19.2%
25.5%CN¥10.00CN¥4.80CN¥3.037
Feb ’24CN¥5.34
CN¥6.40
+19.9%
25.5%CN¥10.00CN¥4.80CN¥2.917
Jan ’24CN¥5.33
CN¥6.27
+17.7%
27.1%CN¥10.00CN¥4.80CN¥3.117
Dec ’23CN¥5.77
CN¥5.65
-2.0%
14.4%CN¥7.20CN¥4.80CN¥3.466
Nov ’23CN¥4.33
CN¥5.65
+30.6%
14.4%CN¥7.20CN¥4.80CN¥3.616

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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