Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving CASIN Real Estate Development Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000838) 27% Price Drop

SZSE:000838
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the CASIN Real Estate Development Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000838) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 34% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Real Estate industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.7x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000838 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 20th 2024

How Has CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 48%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 61% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.7% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd's P/S?

The southerly movements of CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It's no surprise that CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with CASIN Real Estate Development GroupLtd.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.