Stock Analysis

Is ChengDu Hi-Tech Development (SZSE:000628) Using Too Much Debt?

SZSE:000628
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000628) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development

What Is ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development had CN¥3.04b of debt, up from CN¥2.78b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥597.3m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥2.44b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000628 Debt to Equity History December 22nd 2024

How Healthy Is ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ChengDu Hi-Tech Development had liabilities of CN¥9.42b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.97b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥597.3m in cash and CN¥10.5b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥286.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This state of affairs indicates that ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥22.3b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.8, it's fair to say ChengDu Hi-Tech Development does have a significant amount of debt. But the good news is that it boasts fairly comforting interest cover of 6.2 times, suggesting it can responsibly service its obligations. Also relevant is that ChengDu Hi-Tech Development has grown its EBIT by a very respectable 26% in the last year, thus enhancing its ability to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since ChengDu Hi-Tech Development will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

We weren't impressed with ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's net debt to EBITDA, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow made us cautious. But like a ballerina ending on a perfect pirouette, it has not trouble growing its EBIT. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that ChengDu Hi-Tech Development is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is potentially serious...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.