Stock Analysis

ChengDu Hi-Tech Development (SZSE:000628) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

SZSE:000628
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that ChengDu Hi-Tech Development Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000628) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for ChengDu Hi-Tech Development

What Is ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 ChengDu Hi-Tech Development had CN¥2.62b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.17b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥512.5m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥2.11b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000628 Debt to Equity History August 21st 2024

A Look At ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that ChengDu Hi-Tech Development had liabilities of CN¥8.19b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.04b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥512.5m and CN¥9.28b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥432.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development has a market capitalization of CN¥13.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Strangely ChengDu Hi-Tech Development has a sky high EBITDA ratio of 5.1, implying high debt, but a strong interest coverage of 1k. So either it has access to very cheap long term debt or that interest expense is going to grow! Importantly, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development grew its EBIT by 57% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, ChengDu Hi-Tech Development saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

We weren't impressed with ChengDu Hi-Tech Development's net debt to EBITDA, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow made us cautious. But like a ballerina ending on a perfect pirouette, it has not trouble covering its interest expense with its EBIT. Considering this range of data points, we think ChengDu Hi-Tech Development is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with ChengDu Hi-Tech Development (including 2 which don't sit too well with us) .

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.