Shenzhen Overseas Chinese Town Co.,Ltd.

SZSE:000069 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥23.5b

Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd Valuation

Is 000069 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000069 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 000069's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 000069's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000069?

Key metric: As 000069 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 000069. This is calculated by dividing 000069's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 000069's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesCN¥53.31b
Market CapCN¥23.47b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 000069's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 000069 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
601155 Seazen Holdings
0.3x-16.9%CN¥27.8b
600606 Greenland Holdings
0.1x-16.9%CN¥32.2b
600246 Vantone Neo Development Group
30.5xn/aCN¥14.0b
600095 XiangcaiLtd
14.2x12.4%CN¥21.6b
000069 Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd
0.4x-8.0%CN¥23.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 000069 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 000069's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Real Estate Industry?

34 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.5x0.6%
000069 Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd
0.4x-8.0%US$3.22b
600048 Poly Developments and Holdings Group
0.3x-2.4%US$15.18b
001979 China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings
0.5x0.3%US$13.26b
000069 0.4xIndustry Avg. 2.5xNo. of Companies34PS02.44.87.29.612+
34 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.2.5x34.7%
000069 Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd
0.4xn/aUS$3.22b
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 000069 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the CN Real Estate industry average (2.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000069's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000069 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 000069 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000069 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥2.92
CN¥3.07
+5.1%
16.9%CN¥3.59CN¥2.55n/a2
Dec ’25CN¥3.05
CN¥2.99
-2.1%
13.5%CN¥3.59CN¥2.55n/a4
Nov ’25CN¥2.93
CN¥3.00
+2.3%
13.0%CN¥3.59CN¥2.60n/a4
Oct ’25CN¥2.92
CN¥2.56
-12.4%
14.5%CN¥3.10CN¥2.20n/a4
Sep ’25CN¥1.92
CN¥2.80
+45.8%
7.7%CN¥3.10CN¥2.60n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥2.03
CN¥2.80
+37.9%
7.7%CN¥3.10CN¥2.60n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥2.13
CN¥2.93
+37.3%
9.8%CN¥3.30CN¥2.60n/a4
Jun ’25CN¥2.59
CN¥3.39
+30.7%
21.6%CN¥4.80CN¥2.70n/a5
May ’25CN¥2.64
CN¥3.49
+32.0%
20.4%CN¥4.80CN¥2.70n/a5
Apr ’25CN¥2.73
CN¥3.44
+26.0%
26.5%CN¥4.80CN¥2.30n/a5
Mar ’25CN¥3.03
CN¥3.95
+30.5%
26.8%CN¥5.27CN¥2.30n/a5
Feb ’25CN¥2.91
CN¥4.29
+47.6%
15.9%CN¥5.27CN¥3.30n/a5
Jan ’25CN¥3.11
CN¥4.67
+50.1%
9.8%CN¥5.27CN¥4.00n/a4
Dec ’24CN¥3.46
CN¥4.77
+38.0%
9.6%CN¥5.27CN¥4.00CN¥3.055
Nov ’24CN¥3.61
CN¥4.77
+32.2%
9.6%CN¥5.27CN¥4.00CN¥2.935
Oct ’24CN¥4.23
CN¥5.23
+23.7%
12.4%CN¥6.03CN¥4.00CN¥2.927
Sep ’24CN¥4.40
CN¥5.31
+20.6%
12.7%CN¥6.03CN¥4.00CN¥1.926
Aug ’24CN¥4.85
CN¥5.55
+14.4%
13.7%CN¥6.20CN¥4.00CN¥2.036
Jul ’24CN¥4.40
CN¥5.55
+26.1%
13.7%CN¥6.20CN¥4.00CN¥2.136
Jun ’24CN¥4.75
CN¥5.71
+20.3%
7.9%CN¥6.20CN¥5.00CN¥2.596
May ’24CN¥5.01
CN¥5.58
+11.4%
9.4%CN¥6.20CN¥4.80CN¥2.647
Apr ’24CN¥4.83
CN¥6.10
+26.3%
27.3%CN¥10.00CN¥4.80CN¥2.737
Mar ’24CN¥5.37
CN¥6.40
+19.2%
25.5%CN¥10.00CN¥4.80CN¥3.037
Feb ’24CN¥5.34
CN¥6.40
+19.9%
25.5%CN¥10.00CN¥4.80CN¥2.917
Jan ’24CN¥5.33
CN¥6.27
+17.7%
27.1%CN¥10.00CN¥4.80CN¥3.117
Dec ’23CN¥5.77
CN¥5.65
-2.0%
14.4%CN¥7.20CN¥4.80CN¥3.466

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 14:30
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Shenzhen Overseas Chinese Town Co.,Ltd. is covered by 26 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Shaoshen ZhangAvic Securities Co., Ltd
Xiaofeng LuBOCI Research Ltd.
Hui ChenBohai Securities Co., Ltd.