Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd (SHSE:600848) Is Using Debt Extensively

SHSE:600848
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shanghai Lingang Holdings Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600848) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd

What Is Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd had CN¥30.3b of debt, an increase on CN¥25.4b, over one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥7.00b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥23.3b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600848 Debt to Equity History August 14th 2024

How Healthy Is Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd had liabilities of CN¥26.9b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥24.0b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥7.00b in cash and CN¥837.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥43.1b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥22.3b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.2 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 5.4 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. We note that Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd grew its EBIT by 28% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shanghai Lingang HoldingsLtd (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.